Thar she blows!
Once every 600,000 years or so Yellowstone’s supervolcano erupts, making Mt. St. Helens, Pinatubo, and Krakatoa look like firecrackers. It blankets thousands of miles around it in lava and ash, casting a pall over the earth that lowers temperatures and hinders plant life for decades. Compared to Mother Nature we anthropogenic climate changers (if we are that) are pikers. Interestingly enough, that supervolcano is due for another eruption. Interestingly enough, so too is another supervolcano, one constructed entirely by humans. As to which erupts first, bet on the latter.
Newton’s Third Law: For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction. Coercion and violence generate a reaction, a countervailing pressure. They are historical constants, so like Yellowstone’s volcano, the pressure has been building for centuries, although not 6,000 of them. Like Yellowstone’s geysers, pressure-reducing steam has occasionally been released; coercion has abated and freedom briefly flowered. We know those periods as the times when progress mostly happened: the Renaissance, the Enlightenment, the Industrial Revolution. However, the twentieth century marked a resurgence of pressure.
Their intellectual degradation complete, the coercive class meets any manifestation of countervailing pressure with still more coercion. The most pathetic case is the US government. Left at a zenith of power at the end of World War II, it has squandered its moral, military, and financial capital trying to squelch the forces that will inevitably topple its empire. After each disaster, it has sought new disasters. President Trump’s tripling down on Bush’s and Obama’s Afghanistan bets is yet another instance of the belief that force which fails can be “fixed” with more force.
The reactive opposites are decentralization and individual autonomy. Individuals now have unprecedented capacities to wage violence, communicate, and compute. Since World War II governments are batting virtually zero trying to suppress insurgencies waged by guerrillas fighting on their home turf. Try as they might to suppress the Internet, they can’t go too far without severing their economies from the backbone of the information economy. Individuals perform computing feats on their smart phones that were beyond the capabilities of room-size computers fifty years ago. These are the forces pushing back against governmental centralization and coercion.
Lately, not a day has gone by where an article hasn’t appeared arguing that the US government or the media or the globalists or some other nefarious entity is pulling the strings of some nefarious “divide and conquer” strategy. “Divide” needs no help from anyone. Unless humans develop the ability to split themselves, division has proceeded as far as it can go. A solitary soul can work, shop, eat, drink, find amusement and information, and do everything else necessary to sustain life without ever leaving his dwelling or coming into contact with another human being. Undoubtedly some do.
Dividing is a done deal. Conquering is more problematic and in fact won’t happen. A government that’s sixteen years on in Afghanistan and hasn’t won a significant military engagement since World War II is going to have a bit of a problem either maintaining its faltering empire or subjugating its own well-armed population, half of which doesn’t like it very much, the other half expecting a perpetual payday. What if its creditors pull the charge card from the Empire of Debt?
The same problems—imperial inefficiency and debt far in excess of the underlying economy’s ability to support it—will unexpectedly walk in on the globalists’ masturbatory fantasies. Governments at all levels have collectively plighted their troth to a spurious order maintained by force and fraud, resting on a supervolcano. The seismic portents have registered for decades. The Thousand Year Reich lasted twelve years, the Soviet Union sixty-nine. The Chinese government extended its life by rearranging its battery of forces, but the potential—so far successfully suppressed—counter-reaction leaves the rulers in a perpetual state of repressive anxiety.
The western welfare states are beset by bankruptcy, unsustainable expectations, faltering economies, Brexit, Trump, separatist and secessionist movements, and pitched battles over campus speakers, statues, and whatever else triggers the triggered. These are akin to Yellowstone’s recent seismic swarms, and they’ll only get more numerous and intense.
The list of irritations and grievances that can morph into confrontation and chaos is endless. It dawns on the debt-slave young that they are supporting their elders in a style to which they will never become accustomed. The productive tire of funding the unproductive and their government-sponsored rackets. Natives wonder why they should open their arms to migrants, especially those who hate them. Americans rebel against their government’s costly military interventions (okay, that one’s remote). Europe finds the Islamic chokehold increasingly choking and European manhood rediscovers its testicles (even more remote). It would be fitting if the first big morph came at some place like Davos or Jackson Hole.
The think-tank terms for today’s tremors are “devolution” and “decentralization,” always characterized as threats. Supervolcanos take no prisoners. When this one erupts, it will obliterate the rickety superstructures of global governance, finance, and economics. The proper phraseology will be, “blown to smithereens”: the just and unjust, prepared and unprepared, wise and foolish buried under lava flows and choked by ashes, reality beyond a hand in front of one’s face impossible to make out amidst the smoke and haze. The beloved order of the ruling class giving way to entropic atomization.
Atoms are life’s building blocks. Most everything worthwhile—family, community, trade, inquiry, innovation, production, progress—starts with individuals and builds. Most everything deleterious—repression, state-sponsored rapacity, tyranny, war—is imposed from the top by sociopaths masquerading as leaders. Bad as the supervolcano will be, it will blow this “top” to bits, giving the green shoots of decentralized freedom a chance to poke here and there through the ash. It’s about time.
AND YOU THOUGHT THEY DIDN’T
WRITE BOOKS LIKE THIS ANYMORE
STRAIGHT LINE LOGIC 
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“Entropic atomization!” Wow! That is priceless!
I like Bonner’s metaphorical phrasing as well. He argues that the Deep State has now captured Trump.
Its “Gunmen” are now free to carry on their endless wars and perhaps institute new ones.
However, in as little as a few weeks, the Gunmen of the Deep State will have to temporarily yield to the “Goldmen” of same. The debt ceiling will have to be raised so as to enable the Gunmen to continue their anointed task of “properly” exercising that for which they claim t Goldmen enable their “craft.”
Once the Goldmen have fulfilled their immediate task(s), then the rest of us, who might properly be called the “Gulliblemen,” can continue on about our normal disregard for Leviathan, and whatever elements of it constitute Goldmen and Gunmen.
Meanwhile, are those “tremors” I am feeling………….?
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They are indeed.
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The Deep State does not have Trump but it sure has Ryan and McConnell. The Last Refuge has a good piece on Gary Cohen Vs Trump from a day ago or so…much different perspective.
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I think it’s also possible that Trump plans to hang the war machine with its own rope if Afghanistan is not successful. They told him what they wanted. He gave it to them. It better work or Trump will say “you’re fired!” That’s my hope. We win both ways then.
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Reblogged this on The way I see things ….
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The author lost credibility here when he said, “…A government that’s sixteen years on in Afghanistan and hasn’t won a significant military engagement since World War II…”
Apparently he doesn’t know much military history. He must have missed that little fracas in 1991 where we took on the world’s 4th largest Army and in 4 days made them the 2nd largest in Iraq.
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How could I forget our “triumph” in Iraq? It would count as more of a triumph, I think, if we were not still in Iraq and that country wasn’t in tatters. You can call 1991 a triumph, I’m going to call it an overture to disaster. We turned the temporary military bases we erected in Saudi Arabia as part of that effort–and had pledged to dismantle–into permanent bases, thus incensing Osama bin Laden, who had been a friend of the US because of our support for the mujahideen in Afghanistan. We know what happened ten years later.
Oh, and I failed to mention our triumph in Grenada.
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. . . an overture to disaster.
Very likely the best and certainly the most succinct description I’ve ever seen. As for [not winning] a significant military engagement since World War II, what Fred Reed said on the eve of the main performance applies to both: It seems that we’re going to blow up Iraq. Some folk will call it a war, but it’ll be more like drowning a litter of puppies. Iraq is a primitive country and hasn’t got a chance. That’s convenient, and lots of fun, but it ain’t war.
We know what happened ten years later.
To wit: deployment of Osama bin Oswald, the ultimate patsy.
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Yes, beating up a bunch of 3d worlders with 4th rate equipment and little inclination to fight was sure impressive……It would have been even more impressive if it cost less than several trillion dollars and had lasted longer than snow in Iraq.
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You’re missing the point. That war was a HUGE WIN….for the firms who produce and deliver all the set pieces and the costumes and the Industrial Light and Magic. Anyone who thinks modern war (or any war, perhaps) is about the top-line, ostensible excuses given is asleep at the wheel.
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Soldiers today fill the same role as college students: they are both simply chess pieces whose entire purpose is to launder money from the Treasury to politically-powerful firms, while indenturing someone else for the debts incurred.
Soldiers, sailors and Marines, just like students: conduits for swag, nothing more.
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The American Communists have already declared war on us. Why don’t we return the favor, declare general war on them and begin *shoot on sight*? On a side note, whatever happened to the white Southern male? I expected a fusillade of hot lead at the Antifa goons when the first statue of Gen. Robert E. Lee was ripped to the ground. Guess their manhood was ripped off and stuffed up their hindquarters. Bunch of wussified, dress wearing, sissies today if you ask me…. (Note to Trump supporters, if you expect him to do anything useful from now on, you will be waiting for Godot….)
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Reblogged this on Starvin Larry.
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There’s a march planned to start Monday, August 28th from Charlottesville to Washington DC. This is one of those carefully planned “out of the blue” events funded by George Soros and his minions. I can only assume that the real purpose of this is to incite people to further destroy White culture, White civilization and hopefully (to the organizers) to eventually wipe out the White race. For more info click on:
http://theslot.jezebel.com/a-ten-day-march-from-charlottesville-to-washington-is-s-1798463710?utm_medium=sharefromsite&utm_source=The_Slot_twitter
http://www.cville2dc.us/the-march.html
Have a nice day. BTW……..You don’t have enough preps.
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Bob:
I am curious.
Am “un-repentantly” in concurrence with your use of the term, “prelude to disaster.”
In view of the responses to this particular aspect of your article, are you more encouraged or discouraged for the future our offspring will likely face?
Dave
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Dave,
I’m assuming you are referring to the back and forth about the Iraq war in 1991. There are grounds for both pessimism and optimism. That someone would hail that as some sort of victory says that the official story line is bought by an appreciable percentage of people. This may always be the case. However, with some digging on the Internet and other sources, and with logical analysis, one can get the factual information on that military engagement and place it in its historical context. It’s never been easier to bypass “official” sources of information, and obviously you, I, and other readers have done so.
I think that the sort of collapse I envision will make it harder for governments to promote story lines; the necessary credulity among the public will have for the most part dissipated, replaced by disillusionment and cynicism. It will be decades, if ever, before governments achieve the kind of trust they have enjoyed. That’s not a bad thing. I’m not sure if technical difficulties stemming from economic dislocation will severely harm the Internet. If it doesn’t, that’s not a bad thing. If it does, I think the damage will be short-lived. The Internet, as a decentralized, neural network, will repair itself in fairly short order unless things go completely apocalyptic. So overall, once the cathartic cleansing has occured, there are some grounds for optmism for future generations.
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Robert, given your familiarity with the WP, I know you know that our current mess is a product of maniacally high social mood and the pathologically deep and broad social trust that accompanies it.
To me, social trust is THE key. Today’s insanely over-optimistic citizen trusts that his bank is honest, his money is honest, his politicians are honest, the press is honest, the FDA and other gov’t agencies protect him, etc., etc., etc. His actions are revealed preference, and he clearly trusts the entire system no matter how often he may call the King a Fink.
Until interest rates break higher, signaling this long lunatic train of trust has derailed finally, all paths will continue no matter how estranged from sanity they (and we are forced to) become.
At the very peak, people were (are) willing to trust Alien life forms (Spielberg’s E.T.) and my theory of concentric rings of trust suggests that when this finally does go into reverse, eventually the only thing people will trust IS their own hand in front of their face. All other outer circles of “trust” will be no more. People will act on the belief that no one outside of their immediate (hand) can be trusted. It’s going to be a very hard time, for our current cornucopia of Plenitude exists only because of social cooperation that mirrors pathological social trust.
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That’s a brilliant comment.
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I am a huge fan of metaphors and analogies, and your use of the term, “supervolcano” is descriptive at a very deep level. I used to talk about the Bond Ocean, and how–when it was a small pond (back in the 1960’s), a little evaporation taking away a few inches off the surface was insignificant– (which is analogous to capital loss when interest rates rise), but now that it is a veritable Pacific Ocean of debt–a few inches off the surface is a vast reduction in the wealth represented by the total.
It’s a good metaphor, but not a great one. I’m groping in the direction of The Debt-cauldera or The Yellowstone Debtdera….neither of which are elegant. My point is that the downstream effects of rising rates are global and catastrophic in much the same way that several years of crop failures and water contamination from the caudera eruption shall be.
PS: Money.cnn/.com had a clickbait article yesterday titled something like “So-and-so Big Hedge Fund manager says the markets will collapse if the Fed does not CONTINUE to raise rates.”
I almost fell on the floor laughing. If even 1% of that sentiment is real, Idiocracy has already washed over NYC. When rates rise (regardless, of course, of what the Gnomes at the Fed do) and rise enough, Uncle Sam’s Platinum Mastercard will be declined at point-of-sale, and the entire house of cards will collapse just like two famous towers 16 years ago, and in much the same way (widespread collateral damage, loss of life and choking dust leading to chronic disease.)
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Very astute comments. I would question only a few points where I think you’re confusing cause and effect:
. . . maniacally high social mood and the pathologically deep and broad social trust that accompanies it.
That’s the effect. The cause is that which enables those who violate trust on a massive scale to avoid personal consequences – including being regarded by the violated as violators – for doing so.
Interest rates breaking higher will be the effect. All the ludicrous talk about raising them intentionally is just a pathetically vain (in both meanings of the word) attempt to stave off the cause.
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