Biggest Glut in Recorded Crude-Oil History Taking Shape, by Wolf Richter

From Wolf Richter, at wolfstreet.com:

“The market is flooded with oil and everyone is desperate to sell quickly, so you have a price war,” a marine-fuel trader in Singapore, the largest ship refueling hub in the world, told Reuters as prices for bunker fuel oil are plunging.

OPEC, which produces about 40% of global oil supply, announced on June 5 to “maintain” output at 30 million barrels per day for the next six months. Six days later, the IEA’s Oil Market Report for June clarified that “Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and the United Arab Emirates pumped at record monthly rates” in May and boosted OPEC output to 31.3 million barrels per day, the highest since October 2012, and over 1 MMbpd above target for the third month in a row. OPEC will likely continue pumping at this rate “in coming months,” the IEA said.

“We have plenty of crude,” explained Ahmed Al-Subaey, Saudi Aramco’s executive director for marketing while in India to discuss with Indian oil officials supplying additional oil. “You are not going to see any cuts from Saudi Arabia,” he said. Saudi Arabia produced 10.3 MMbpd in May, its highest rate on record.

So forget the long-rumored decline of Saudi oil fields. For Saudi Arabia, it’s a matter of survival. It has cheap oil, and it won’t be pushed into the abyss by high-cost, junk-bond-funded, eternally cash-flow-negative producers in the US. It will defend its market share, and it can do so profitably.

Russian produced 10.71 MMbpd of oil and condensate in May, a hair lower than its post-Soviet record set in January, and within reach of the Soviet record of 11.48 MMbpd set in 1987. Russia is not cutting back either. It needs every foreign-exchange dime it can get. Its oil & gas sector is its economic lifeline.

And US oil producers aren’t backing off either. They idled 60% of their drilling rigs, slashed capital expenditures, laid off tens of thousands of workers, and shut some facilities. A number of companies in the oil patch have filed for bankruptcy. But US producers are pumping more oil than ever before.

http://wolfstreet.com/2015/06/16/biggest-glut-in-crude-oil-history-takes-shape-us-russia-opec-saudi-arabia-production/

To continue reading: Biggest Glut in Recorded Crude-Oil History Taking Shape

2 responses to “Biggest Glut in Recorded Crude-Oil History Taking Shape, by Wolf Richter

  1. Ok I am understanding that the impact of this is going to be lower gas prices in the near future? Much lower?

  2. Reblogged this on Starvin Larry and commented:
    All this oil-when gas hit $4.00 a gallon,oil was at $150.00 a barrel.
    So now-gas should be under $2.00 a gallon.
    Why isn’t it?

Leave a Reply