Israeli Conflict Takes Eschatological Turn + Ukraine War Updates, by Simplicius the Thinker

Is Hamas laying a trap for Israel? From Simplicius the Thinker at simplicius76.substack.com:

As we reach the first week of the Israeli conflict which began on October 7th, Israel prepares its alleged ground invasion into Gaza.

There are still many who believe they’re bluffing, many voices on both sides, including Israelis, who say it will be suicide, as the destruction in Gaza has created a landscape that’s ripe for al-Qassam fighters to wage a bloody, attritional guerilla war against the IDF. It’s difficult to evaluate for lack of intimate knowledge of what Hamas actually possesses in terms of stocked materiel. What they claim to have could be exaggerated bluffs, so it’s impossible to know for sure how successful they could be.

But many people, including MI6 figures, believe it’s a trap:

Attacks by the Hamas militant group were likely a ploy to lure Israel into a costly ground invasion of Gaza, the former head of Britain’s MI6 spy agency said.

Alex Younger, who served as the head of the UK’s foreign intelligence service from 2014 to 2020, gave his comments in an interview on the BBC’s “The Today Podcast.”

💬 “I absolutely understand and endorse Israel’s right to defend themselves in the circumstances, and indeed to restore the credibility of those defenses, so that that sense of psychological safety can be restored to the people.

But here’s the thing, you shouldn’t do what your enemy wants you to do,…

…And it’s really obvious now that Hamas are essentially laying a trap for Israel, And [it] will be well pleased if Israel commits itself to an open-ended, full-scale ground invasion of Gaza because of the scale and intensity of conflict that that would entail, and the loss of innocent life that would inevitably follow and the radicalization that would engender, and the extent to which will put Israel’s allies and partners in the region in an impossible position.”

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