It wouldn’t be advantageous for either the U.S. or Hezbollah for the war to widen out across the Middle East. From Ali Rizk at responsiblestatecraft.org:
Both worry about being dragged into a wider regional conflict.
The situation along the Lebanese-Israeli front continues to escalate as Hezbollah and the Israeli military intensify cross-border operations.
Despite the escalation, the Lebanese Shiite movement’s strategy appears unchanged — to force Israel to divert substantial military forces from its Gaza offensive against Hamas without provoking a full-blown war with the Jewish state. Against this backdrop, Hezbollah’s stance ironically appears to align with the Biden administration’s goal of preventing a wider conflict as Israel continues its campaign against the Palestinian movement in Gaza.
A new phase of escalation on the Lebanese-Israeli front
Tensions between Hezbollah and Israel have peaked following an Israeli airstrike that targeted a civilian car in south Lebanon. The November 5 attack, which Human Rights Watch denounced as “an apparent war crime,” led to the death of a woman and her three grandchildren, prompting retaliation from Hezbollah that led to the death of one Israeli civilian near the northern town of Kiryat Shmona. That incident marked the first time the Lebanese movement appeared to deliberately target Israeli civilians in this latest round of cross-border fighting.
The situation has sharply escalated since then, with Israel bombing a hospital in the southern Lebanese town of Mays Aljabal, leaving one person wounded. Hezbollah meanwhile carried out a -border missile attack that left over 20 people wounded, including at least seven Israeli soldiers.
