Can Trump really pull off a quick peace deal in Ukraine? By Martin Jay

Donald Trump has broached the idea that Ukraine give up trying to recover the four Russia-speaking areas of Ukraine now under Russian control. From Martin Jay at strategic-culture.su:

There is really very little incentive on the Russia side to cede anything as militarily they have the upper hand.

Can Trump really pull off a peace deal in his first week in office with Ukraine and Russia? Initially, when he spoke of this during the earlier part of the war, the picture was a lot simpler and many commentators and analysts bought into his idea: starve Ukraine of military aid and force Zelensky to accept the inevitable while threatening Putin with doubling the aid to Ukraine. Surely, on this one, the element of surprise was dashed when he told a number of journalists the master day.

Recently, the subject of a Ukraine peace deal has come to the fore once again when Trump spoke with Zelensky over the phone and, despite the Ukrainian President speaking very positively about the talk, no details were revealed about what was on the table. What was leaked however was that Trump expected Zelensky to withdraw his troops from the four key areas which Russia considers to be its own regions – which until now was always off the table.

It could signify a possibility that the super deal that Trump reckons he can pull off might have legs. Yet there are a number of complications to factor in. Firstly, there is really very little incentive on the Russia side to cede anything as militarily they have the upper hand. The three key points are they want to keep the four regions in dispute, they want a denazification of Ukraine, promises that it can never be a NATO country and last of all that a deal is signed with a new, democratically elected president, as, it should be stressed that Zelensky’s mandate has legally expired This last point is important as due to the track record on the West’s side of not playing fair when they signed the Minsk Agreement, the next peace deal has to be water tight.

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One response to “Can Trump really pull off a quick peace deal in Ukraine? By Martin Jay

  1. If anyone can make Z kiss the ring, it is the Donfather.

    Just stop sending any aid or shekels to stop the KIA count.

    If DJT was preezy of the steezy (H/T-JF) in 2022 would any of this happened?

    Breaking from Conan:

    Eternal Silent Legend

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