Why sanctions on Russia are literally backfiring, by Ariel Petrovics

Sanctions on Russia get a place on the long list of things Biden and Harris have done that didn’t work out as intended. That’s the charitable interpretation. The uncharitable interpretation is that they worked out exactly as intended. From Ariel Petrovics at responsiblestatecraft.org:

Moscow appeared ripe for Western-imposed economic pain after its invasion of Ukraine but today the country is thriving

The U.S. and its allies have relied on sanctions as one of the primary tools for curtailing Russia’s military operations in Ukraine.

Running the gamut from individual limits against Russian leaders and businesses, to comprehensive restrictions on key sectors like Russian oil and natural gas, these sanctions are intended to impose unacceptable economic costs that directly hinder Russia’s war effort and indirectly incentivize Russia to end its campaign.

However, experts have been debating whether and how well they have worked. Some argue that the comprehensive sanctions, and in particular the widespread restrictions against its oil and gas revenue, are bringing Russia’s economy — and therefore its military campaign — to its knees. Others concede that sanctions may not successfully end the war outright, but contend they at least offer an inexpensive and low-risk way to slow Russian advances and take a public stand against the invasion. And yet, after nearly three years, the war still rages, Russia’s economy has rebounded, and Russian domestic support for Putin and the Kremlin are at an all-time high.

The problem with this solely economic debate is that it overlooks the risk for more serious counterproductive consequences. Sanctions are not just failing to end the war in Ukraine or weaken the Kremlin’s warfighting currency, they’ve also backfired, inadvertently strengthening Moscow’s hardline position, undermining the utility of alternative strategies, and shoring up the Kremlin against future international coercion. As a result, the fallback position that sanctions are at least better than nothing ignores their long-term perverse consequences for regional peace and international stability.

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One response to “Why sanctions on Russia are literally backfiring, by Ariel Petrovics”

  1. VV Putin can see Alaska from there [Russia] and knows it will be his under the historic (!) messiahette, THE ONE part deux. (umm… umm… umm)

    The children will sing hymns of praise to the “historic” one part two and Kamala Jugend schools will spring up nationwide with snappy uniforms and salutes.

    Don’t be critical of the immaculate one part two, kulak shirker untermenschen, there’s a camp for that administered by esteemed CPUSA (D) party member comrade kommissar Billy Ayers.

    All of that is a feature to the CPUSA (D) branch of the feckless failing and flailing UNI.

    Sanctions because even the Frankfurt School faculty lounge knows that Ivan has the best ground based army in the world along with some outstanding aerial arsenal not built by MIC jackwagons. (H/T-Sarge)

    And RF has stocked up on gold big time while building alliances.

    Chess vs. checkers won’t end well for FUSA, it isn’t meant to.

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