Iran knows the ceasefire is bullshit and is preparing accordingly. From Hadi bin Hurr at strategic-culture.su:
In any conceivable scenario, the war—driven by the irreconcilable enmity between the two sides—will persist until one is utterly annihilated. Neither side will ever surrender.
After the U.S. bases in Qatar and Iraq, during the evening hours of June 23 and the early morning hours of June 24 (local time), became intimately acquainted with Iran’s missile program, Donald Trump suddenly developed an unbearable urge to secure a Nobel Peace Prize for himself next year. The warmongering hawk Trump, literally overnight, transformed into a gentle dove of peace. Though with an olive branch in his beak, the American president still managed to tweet the good news of a ceasefire to the entire planet.
Shortly after Iran’s missile strikes on the American bases at Al Udeid in Qatar and Ain al-Asad in Iraq, Trump posted the good news on his Truth Social/X profile:
“THE CEASEFIRE IS NOW IN EFFECT. PLEASE DO NOT VIOLATE IT.”
– Donald J. Trump, President of the United States
Soon after his boss’s tweet, Republican Buddy Carter rushed to nominate him for the highest honor any true peace advocate could hope to receive. But alas, Ukrainian MP Oleksandr Merezhko, who had nominated Trump for the peace prize back in November of the previous year, decided that very same day—June 24—to withdraw that nomination, disappointed by the lack of progress in peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, one of the most important promises made by the current U.S. president. Thus, on the very same day, Trump was both nominated and de-nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize, and left stranded in some imaginary space between unearned recognition for peace and fully deserved credit for war.
If the reports by Reuters, AP, and The New Yorker are to be believed, the initiative to establish a ceasefire did in fact come from Trump and his advisers, with visibly shaken Qatar—disturbed by the Iranian missile strikes—mentioned as a mediator. The European Union quickly welcomed the ceasefire but also warned of its fragility. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov reiterated Moscow’s principled stance on the necessity of ending hostilities between Israel and Iran, while also expressing caution about the sustainability of the ceasefire. Messages from the Kremlin indicated Russia’s readiness to mediate in the negotiations, though with the caveat that it remained uncertain whether that readiness would be accepted.
