The Next Israel-Iran War Is Coming, by Trita Parsi

Israel wants more war, sooner rather than later, so that Iran doesn’t have time to regroup and replenish. From Trita Parsi at archive.is:

Both countries’ strategic calculus suggests it will be even more violent.

Smoke rises over several buildings.
Smoke rises over several buildings.

Israel is likely to launch another war with Iran before December—perhaps even as early as late August.

Iran is expecting and preparing for the attack. It played the long game in the first war, pacing its missile attacks as it anticipated a protracted conflict. In the next round, however, Iran is likely to strike decisively from the outset, aiming to dispel any notion that it can be subdued under Israeli military dominance.

As a result, the coming war will likely be far bloodier than the first. If U.S. President Donald Trump caves to Israeli pressure again and joins the fight, the United States could face a full-blown war with Iran that will make Iraq look easy by comparison.

Israel’s June war was never solely about Iran’s nuclear program. Rather, it was about shifting the balance of power in the Middle East, with Iranian nuclear capabilities being an important but not decisive factor. For more than two decades, Israel has pushed the United States to take military action against Iran to weaken it and restore a favorable regional balance—one that Israel cannot achieve on its own.

In this context, Israel’s strikes had three main objectives beyond weakening Iran’s nuclear infrastructure. It sought to draw the United States into direct military conflict with Iran, to decapitate the Iranian regime, and to turn the country into the next Syria or Lebanon—countries that Israel can bomb with impunity and without any U.S. involvement. Only one of the three goals was realized. What’s more, Trump did not “obliterate” Iran’s nuclear program, nor has it been set back to a point where the issue can be considered resolved.

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One response to “The Next Israel-Iran War Is Coming, by Trita Parsi”

  1. And missile superpower Iran will give it to them good and hard?

    Hey, you wanted WAR, now suck on it.

    Read about all the missiles and rockets RF has and felt like Jack Nicholson as the Joker with where does Ivan get all those toys.

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