Maybe miracles happen and the Gaza peace agreement endures, but that’s certainly not the betting favorite. From Martin Jay at strategic-culture.su:
There is not much hope for a long standing peace in the Gaza Strip, Martin Jay writes.
How much hope can we place in the recently announced ceasefire deal, agreed both by Israel and Hamas, supposedly brokered by U.S. President Donald Trump? Who are the winners and losers? And how much of what we are seeing and reading in western press is the whole truth?
Unfortunately the picture is bleak and there is not much hope for a long-standing peace in the Gaza Strip, largely because the so-called deal is not a ‘peace deal’ as such but more a temporary ceasefire to get out Israeli hostages. Not much more.
Certainly, the 20 point plan has more to it than that but the fact that most of the points are vague and open to interpretation doesn’t bode well for the whole thing to be taken seriously. Perhaps it was never meant to be taken seriously, as I have previously written, it is likely that Trump put this together at the last moment hastily due to the media spotlight that EU leaders were getting and the possibility of a UN plan getting underway.
In reality, the only two winners in the deal are not even countries or states, but individuals. Trump himself will think he is whitewashing himself of the genocide and will hope that being the one who is the architect of the plan itself, it will accelerate his chances of getting a Nobel Peace Prize. This is unlikely though as despite western media dutifully writing up the narrative that it is Trump who is “railroading” the peace deal through, the truth is, in reality, a little different. From the very first day in office, Trump could have stopped the genocide in Gaza, but instead chose to support Netanyahu all the way with numerous arms shipments being signed off by him. For Netanyahu, the political capital to be gleaned by getting 20 hostages alive returned to their families cannot have a price attached to it. And so, broadly speaking, both Trump and Netanyahu will wring their hands when the hostages walk free.
