Game theory says we’re never going to see the complete, unredacted Epstein file. From el gato malo at boriquagato.substack.com:
transgression as alliance strategy
let’s take a quick spin through some game theory.
[see article for video]
there are a number of useful salients here:
- when seeking power/influence/to win the game, it pays to form alliances.
- early formation of open alliances is a high risk strategy as it forces others to ally against you.
- secret alliances sidestep this issue: you can coordinate to victory without generating a threat signal that causes others to coordinate against you.
- transgression is a powerful means to cement a secret alliance because everyone involved
- wants to keep it a secret because the transgression is problematic if discovered
- will support all others in the group because of a form of “mutually assured destruction.” if anyone defects from the alliance, they get ruined. each holds a hammer above the head of each other.
such an alliance will hold together in direct proportion to how bad the consequences of being outed for the transgression are and how ruthlessly the people within the group deal with anyone who talks.
the first rule of “cabal club” is “if you talk about cabal club, we end you.”
this has profound intersection with the implications of a game theory construct called “werewolf.”
[see article for video]
the core takeaway from werewolf is that small groups working in concert with the benefit of asymmetric information can easily run rings around larger groups. the werewolves almost always win.
