Another Sign of Rough Sledding Ahead: Dividend Cuts Surpass 2008, by Luke Kawa

From Luke Kawa at bloomberg.com:

Tightening credit puts pressure on companies to scale back payouts.

In 2015, equity investors looking for yield suffered death by 394 cuts.
Last year, the number of dividend reductions far surpassed 2008, according to Bespoke Investment Group, citing data from Standard & Poor’s.

The ratcheting down of payouts to shareholders is a function of weak commodity prices, sluggish growth dampening corporate profits, and a tightening of credit conditions. This combination—and in particular the stingier lending—could exacerbate the carnage already seen this year in financial markets, further dampening economic activity.

The number of payout cuts enacted was almost 100 more than at the outset of the Great Recession—a time when the implosion of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. caused equity markets to plummet in the later stages of the third quarter:

“Whenever you see comparisons between any period and 2008 it grabs your attention,” wrote Bespoke in a report published Friday. “Not to minimize the significance, but the peak year for dividend cuts was actually in 2009 when there were 527, and there is still a ways to go before we get there.”

Because of the stigma associated with cutting dividends, management is loath to go down that path unless the need is dire. The trend toward trimmed payouts hasn’t let up so far in 2016, especially among companies under stress from soft commodity prices. In recent days, ConocoPhillips slashed its dividend by 66 percent and Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc. reduced its payout by 34 percent.

Meanwhile, Statoil ASA pledged to keep its dividend intact, opting instead to add debt while continuing to cut back on capital expenditures.

To continue reading: Another Sign of Rough Sledding Ahead: Dividend Cuts Surpass 2008

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