US Asset Bubbles Crack as Frantic China “Restricts” Outbound Investments, by Wolf Richter

Chinese investors, and the Chinese government, have realized they don’t want to be the greatest of the greater fools. From Wolf Richter at wolfstreet.com:

What happens to prices when the biggest, reckless buyer walks away?

China’s State Council has issued guidelines on what Chinese companies can and cannot acquire overseas. The purpose is to “promote healthy growth of overseas investment and prevent risks.” These risks would be that the $18 trillion of Chinese corporate debt will balloon further, though much of this debt is already going bad, and that it will blow up, triggering a spectacular financial crisis. This is to be avoided.

So Chinese companies have been given priorities, and their efforts to invest in overseas commercial real estate – such as office towers and apartment buildings – in hotels, and in Hollywood will be axed.

What’s on:

The guideline intends to drive the output of China’s products, technology and services, and deepen cooperation with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative.

The government will support “eligible” Chinese companies “to make overseas investment and join in the construction of projects in the Belt and Road Initiative.”

These enterprises should take the lead to export China’s superior technology and equipment, upgrade the nation’s research and manufacturing ability, and make up the shortage of energy and resources through prudent cooperation in oil, gas and other resources.

What’s off:

Other investments will be “restricted,” particularly those “against the peaceful development, win-win cooperation, and China’s macro control policies.” These policies are now being implemented to dodge this spectacular financial crisis.

Among those outbound investments and acquisitions that will be “restricted” and that directly impact US markets and valuations are:

  • “Real estate”
  • “Hotels”
  • “Entertainment”

To continue reading: US Asset Bubbles Crack as Frantic China “Restricts” Outbound Investments

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