It’s tough to beat an opponent who’s in charge of election security. From 2nd Smartest Guy in the World at 2ndsmartestguyintheworld.substack.com:
Just like the 2020 presidential election, we are now in realtime witnessing the Arizona race for governor being stolen in plain sight.
The midterms were never about which candidate garnered the most votes, they were always about how the Democrats would ballot harvest.
If winning an election is a popularity contest, then social media metrics would provide meaningful insights into which candidate will win — the more followers and likes, the greater chances of being elected; to wit:

There is no possible way that Katie Hobbs could ever defeat Kari Lake with actual votes.