SLL does not generally do end of the year forecasts. The prognosticatory pieces tend to be lengthy. There are so many by various pundits that most of them probably don’t get read by more than a handful of readers. SLL hasn’t found anybody with a reliably consistent crystal ball. (How many seers got the biggest stories of 2016—Brexit and Donald Trump?) Many of the pieces are nothing more than linear extrapolations of existing trends. SLL believes in straight line logic, but not straight line events and history. Beyond a basic philosophic orientation that may give one a general idea about where things are head, detailed predictions are almost always dead wrong and make for amusing reading a year down the road. Finally, SLL can generally find an article or two that has its basically pessimistic world view and reaches generally plausible conclusions, so why reinvent the wheel? This year, two such articles come from Jim Quinn ( in two parts) and James Howard Kunstler (who probably should have split his lengthy article into two parts). Rather than the usual opening paragraphs with links to the articles, there are just links to the articles. Anyone who wants two capable authors’ takes on 2017, which would be fairly similar to SLL’s prognostications if SLL prognosticated on the coming year, click away:
A BIASED 2017 FORECAST (PART ONE), by Jim Quinn at The Burning Platform
A BIASED 2017 FORECAST (PART TWO), by Jim Quinn at The Burning Platform
Forecast 2017: The Wheels Finally Come Off, by James Howard Kunstler
