Tag Archives: central bank policy

They Said That? 12/19/14

From the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System press release, issued 12/17/14:

Based on its current assessment, the Committee judges that it can be patient in beginning to normalize the stance of monetary policy. The Committee sees this guidance as consistent with its previous statement that it likely will be appropriate to maintain the 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate for a considerable time following the end of its asset purchase program in October, especially if projected inflation continues to run below the Committee’s 2 percent longer-run goal, and provided that longer-term inflation expectations remain well anchored.

http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20141217a.htm

See “Ms. Yellen Whispers Sweet Nothings In Mr. Market’s Ear,” SLL, earlier today.

She Said That? 10/18/14

From Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Janet Yellen:

Some degree of inequality in income and wealth, of course, would occur even with completely equal opportunity because variations in effort, skill, and luck will produce variations in outcomes. Indeed, some variation in outcomes arguably contributes to economic growth because it creates incentives to work hard, get an education, save, invest, and undertake risk.

Conference on Economic Opportunity and Inequality, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, Boston, Massachusetts, 10/17/14.

Under laissez faire capitalism, there is no “arguably” about it: the prospect of getting rich, keeping one’s wealth, and keeping it in a store of stable monetary value propels economic growth, far more so than any other system. On the other hand, making central bankers the commissars of our overtaxed, over regulated, welfare-state economy destroys incentives to work hard, plunges college graduates into debt for degrees of little economic value, drives interest rates so low that nobody saves, turns investment markets into casinos, and makes speculation and financial engineering the predominant forms of risk undertaking. Ms. Yellen specified four sources of opportunity: resources available for children, affordable higher education, business ownership, and inheritances, but omitted what is arguably the most important source of opportunity in our state-directed economy: cronies in government. Three nuggets of advice for Ms. Yellen and all the other Washington masters and mistresses of the universe: shut up, get out of our way, and leave us alone.

Fed Cries Uncle

Well, that didn’t take long. From it’s closing high on 9/18/14 of 2011.36 to today’s intraday low of 1835.02, the S&P index declined by less than 9 percent, which does not even qualify as an official “correction” of 10 percent. However, the “Got-Your-Back” Federal Reserve doesn’t want any tele-tantrums from Jim Cramer tonight, so James Bullard, president of the St. Louis Fed, served this little raw meat appetizer to Wall Street’s bellowing hordes.

The Federal Reserve should consider delaying the end of its bond purchase program to halt a decline in inflation expectations, said St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard.

Speaking in an interview today with Bloomberg News in Washington, Bullard said U.S. economic fundamentals remain strong, and he blamed recent financial-market turmoil on downgrades in the outlook for Europe.

“Inflation expectations are declining in the U.S.,” he said. “That’s an important consideration for a central bank. And for that reason I think that a logical policy response at this juncture may be to delay the end of the QE.”

Bullard is the first Fed official to publicly suggest the central bank should extend its program of quantitative easing when policy makers meet later this month. U.S. stocks pared losses and Treasuries declined on expectations the Fed will take action to insulate the U.S. from global economic weakness.

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He Said That? 10/15/14

From Ed Yardeni, president and chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research Inc.:

“Investors around the world are shocked, shocked that the monetary wizards may have run out of magic tricks to revive global economic growth. Even the wizards are admitting that their powers to do so are limited.” “No Happy Ending for Investors in Central Bank Fairy Tale,” bloomberg.com, 10/14/14

SLL, Robert Prechter, David Stockman, and a number of commentators on Zero Hedge have been saying the same thing for years, but now it looks like the mainstream has discovered the emperor has no clothes. Maybe in a few years they’ll even admit that debt monetization and fiat money ultimately retard rather than promote economic growth, although they do promote asset bubbles and deflationary crashes.

Entomology 101, A Review of David Stockman’s The Great Deformation by Robert Gore

by Robert Gore

David Stockman tells the truth and knows what he is talking about. Either virtue disqualifies him for Washington or the major media, so he blogs (davidstockmanscontracorner.com) and writes books. An insider as President Reagan’s budget director and then a partner in private equity powerhouse Blackstone Group, Stockman now loses friends and influences malcontents from his chosen perch on the outside. Ignore his book, The Great Deformation, The Corruption of Capitalism in America, at your peril. It chronicles the deterioration of the welfare-warfare state and reveals the economic, financial, social, and political horror show America has become. This polemic perforates the media’s stock-market fueled happy talk, war propaganda, and endless trivia that divert attention from our dysfunctional economy and corrupt, bankrupt government. Continue reading