Tag Archives: Federal Reserve

The World Is Turning Ugly As 2016 Winds Down, by Brandon Smith

Brandon Smith reasserts his hypothesis that disaster is coming and the globalists want Trump to win so they can blame it on him and his liberty-minded and conservative supporters. If the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee, contrary to market expectations and the clearly deteriorating economy, raises the interest rate target on overnight fed funds next week, as Smith expects, then the plausibility of this hypothesis goes way up, although it probably doesn’t kill it if the FOMC stands pat. From Smith at alt-markets.com:

I have to say that the negative reverberations in our current economic and political environment are becoming so strong that it is impossible for people to not feel at least some uneasiness in their gut. I imagine this is the same kind of sensation many felt from 1914 to 1918 during World War I and the terrible birth of communism, or perhaps in the early 1930s at the onset of the Great Depression and the rise of fascism. Some global changes are so disturbing that they send shockwaves through the collective unconscious before they ever hit the mainstream. People know that something is about to happen, even if they cannot yet clearly define it.

At the beginning of August in my article “2016 Will End With Economic Instability And A Trump Presidency” I stated that:

“I believe a softer downturn will begin before the election (the U.S. presidential election) takes place, most likely starting in September. This will give a boost to the Trump campaign, or at least, that is what the polls will likely say. I would also watch for some banking officials and media pundits to blame this downturn on Trump’s rise in the polling data. The narrative will be that just the threat of a Trump presidency is “putting the markets on edge.”

Unfortunately, it would seem so far that this prediction was correct. Currently global markets have crossed into severe volatility with a vengeance after around three months of eerie calm. Why? Well, as I warned in the same article linked above as well as numerous others since the beginning of this year, the Federal Reserve is determined to continue raising interest rates into a recessionary environment as they almost always do, and equities markets addicted to cheap debt cannot tolerate even one additional rate hike from the central bank.

So far all evidence suggests that the Fed plans to raise rates again soon; I believe at the end of this month. The only seemingly “anti-hike” voice at the Fed so far has been board member Lael Brainard, but even her statements promote a false narrative that a America is on track to “recovery”.

Many normally “dovish” members of the Fed have openly suggested that now is the time to hike. Voting members at the Fed have been vocal about a shift in policy. The latest example being head of the Bank of Cleveland, Loretta Mester. She argues that rates have remained “too low for too long,” and rejected notions that lower rates are necessary to maintain stability.

This is the same kind of language Fed members used right before the rate hike in December 2015, the first rate hike in around a decade. And, to add to the fervor, even JP Morgan Chase head Jamie Dimon is calling for interest rates to rise.

Get ready folks, because all the naysayers that claimed another rate hike is “impossible” are probably about to be proven wrong yet again.

My warning on an accelerating Trump campaign being blamed for weak stock markets has also come true. Already, Bloomberg is launching the meme that the idea of Hillary Clinton losing the election to Trump “because of her health” is a “landmine for vulnerable markets.”

This is some incredible spin by the elitist controlled media, but again, very predictable. The globalists are setting the stage to blame the economic collapse they created on conservative movements. Clinton’s “health issues” are being set up as the scapegoat for a Trump win, which conjures additional social unrest as many on the Left will argue (in the event of a Trump win) that Trump prevailed on a technicality. That is to say, the extreme Left will argue that Trump’s presidency is not legitimate.

To continue reading: The World Is Turning Ugly As 2016 Winds Down

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The Fed Launches A Facebook Page… And The Result Is Not What It Had Expected, by Tyler Durden

This is probably the first time the Federal Reserve has received this kind of negative feedback; it gets nothing but adulation from the press and financial market participants. From Tyler Durden at zerohedge.com:

While it is not exactly clear what public relations goals the privately-owned Fed (recall Bernanke’s Former Advisor: “People Would Be Stunned To Know The Extent To Which The Fed Is Privately Owned”) hoped to achieve by launching its first Facebook page last Thursday, the resultant outpouring of less than euphoric public reactions suggest this latest PR effort may have been waster at best, and at worst backfired at a magnitude that matches JPM’s infamous #AskJPM twitter gaffe.

Here are some examples of the public responses to the Fed’s original posting: they all share a certain uniformity…

To continue reading (further non-complimentary comments): The Fed Launches A Facebook Page… And The Result Is Not What It Had Expected

The Fed’s Doomsday Device, by Bill Bonner

The Bill Bonner version of debtonomics, and one of the few that at least partially gets the difference between real money and fiat debt. However, he errs when he says that banks create money when they create loans. They create debt. See “Real Money,” SLL. From Bonner, at acting-man.com:

Bezzle

BALTIMORE – Barron’s, in a lather, says the market is facing the “Two Horsemen of the Apocalypse.” Huh?

Supposedly, the so-called Brexit – the vote in Britain this Thursday on whether to leave or remain in the European Union (EU) – and uncertainty over where the Fed will take U.S. interest rates are cutting down stocks faster than a Z-turn mower.

But Brexit is a side show. As our contacts in London explained in last week’s issue of Bonner & Partners Inner Circle, Britain will do just fine outside of the EU. It will even thrive.

As for the Fed’s fumbling, it is a consequence, not a cause, of falling stock prices. The real threat to this market is more basic, more dangerous… and completely unavoidable. It is a “doomsday device” – hidden in plain view – in the feds’ fiat money system.

It took us a long time to understand how this works. For many years, we referred to the Fed’s EZ money policies as “printing money.” Finally, we realized that this metaphoric description of the Fed’s role probably hides more than it reveals.

The Fed is not printing money. If it were printing money, we’d have more money around and higher consumer prices. Instead, when the feds went to a “paper” money system in 1971, they did it very cleverly.

Yes, their new system is totally fraudulent and absolutely ruinous – just like an old fashioned money-printing scheme. But the fraud takes much longer to uncover, and the ruin is only obvious at the end. It is a “bezzle”… where you only become aware that you’ve been had when it blows up.

Unlimited Credit

Here’s the deal…Instead of printing money itself, the Fed allows banks to create an almost unlimited amount of credit (providing they meet certain capital requirements).

Contrary to popular belief, banks don’t act as “warehouses” – taking in deposits and then lending them out again. Instead, banks create new deposits (aka money) when they make a loan.

US true money supply TMS-2 – we [Pater Tenebrarum at acting-man.com] actually have to disagree with Bill on one point: while normally, the bulk of credit and money supply expansion is indeed left to commercial banks, the Fed can and does “print money” directly if it deems it necessary. In fact, this happened during the three iterations of QE – every time the Fed purchases a security from a non-bank (and the primary dealers are legally non-banks), new deposit money is created to the extent of the purchase. You can catch up on the details here: “Can the Fed Print Money?”

All it takes is a few strokes on a keyboard, and account balances – along with the money supply – go up.0 At first, this new credit-money acts much like printing-press money: It gives people money to spend that nobody ever earned. Everybody is happy.

But if you keep on creating more and more paper money, the fraud is soon obvious. Prices rise. People realize that they have no more purchasing power than they had before.

In the meantime, businesses and consumers have all made bad decisions, based on the apparent increase in “demand.” After a while, all those mistakes have to be flushed out… in a recession or a depression.

To continue reading: The Fed’s Doomsday Device

 

To Learn How the Federal Reserve Bank Works, from The Burning Platform

http://www.theburningplatform.com/2016/04/28/to-learn-how-the-federal-reserve-bank-works/

Bernanke’s Former Advisor: “People Would Be Stunned To Know The Extent To Which The Fed Is Privately Owned” by Tyler Durden

In “Panama is Small Change,” SLL asserted that: “The Fed has developed a close identity of interest with the banks it regulates (also known as regulatory capture), promoting concentration within the industry and effectively turning it into a cartel.” For anyone who doubts it, here’s confirmation from a former Fed insider, with commentary by Tyler Durden at zerohedge.com:

With every passing day, the Fed is slowly but surely losing the game.

Only it is not just former (and in some cases current) Fed presidents admitting central banks are increasingly powerless to boost the global economy, even if they still have sway over capital markets. What is far more insidious to the Fed’s waning credibility is when former economists affiliated with the Fed start repeating mantras that until recently were only a prominent feature in the so-called fringe media.

This is precisely what happened today when former central bank staffer and Dartmouth College economics professor Andrew Levin, special adviser to then Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke between 2010 to 2012, joined with an activist group to argue for overhauls at the central bank that they say would distance it from Wall Street and make its activities more transparent and accountable to the public.

Levin is pressing for the overhaul with Fed Up coalition activists. Many of the proposed changes target the 12 regional Federal Reserve Banks, which are quasi-private and technically owned by commercial banks in their respective districts.

All of that is not surprising. What he said to justify his new found cause, however, is.

“A lot of people would be stunned to know” the extent to which the Federal Reserve is privately owned, Mr. Levin said. The Fed “should be a fully public institution just like every other central bank” in the developed world, he said in a conference call announcing the plan. He described his proposals as “sensible, pragmatic and nonpartisan.”

Why is that stunning? Because it has long been a bone of contention if only among the fringe media, that at its core the Fed is merely a private institution, beholden only to its de facto owners: not the people of the U.S. but to a small cabal of banks. Worse, the actual org chart of who owns what is not disclosed, even as the vast majority of the U.S. population remains deluded that the Fed is a publicly owned institution.

As the WSJ goes on to note, the former central bank staffer said he sees his ideas as designed to maintain the virtues the central bank already brings to the table. They aren’t targeted at changing how policy is conducted today. “What’s important here is that reform to the Federal Reserve can last for 100 years, not just the near term,” he said.

And this is coming from a former Fed employee and Ben Bernanke’s personal advisor! That in itself is a most striking development, because now that the insiders are finally speaking up, it will be a race among both current and prior Fed workers to reveal as much dirty laundry as possible ahead of what is increasingly being perceived by many as the Fed’s demise.

To continue reading: Bernanke’s Former Advisor: “People Would Be Stunned To Know The Extent To Which The Fed Is Privately Owned”

The Fed Responds To Zero Hedge: Here Are Some Follow Up Questions, by Tyler Durden

From Tyler Durden at zerohedge.com:

Over the weekend, we gave the Dallas Fed a chance to respond to a Zero Hedge story corroborated by at least two independent sources, in which we reported that Federal Reserve members had met with bank lenders with distressed loan exposure to the US oil and gas sector and, after parsing through the complete bank books, had advised banks to i) not urge creditor counterparties into default, ii) urge asset sales instead, and iii) ultimately suspend mark to market in various instances.

Moments ago the Dallas Fed, whose president since September 2015 is Robert Steven Kaplan, a former Goldman Sachs career banker who after 22 years at the bank rose to the rank of vice chairman of its investment bank group – an odd background for a regional Fed president – took the time away from its holiday schedule to respond to Zero Hedge.

This is what it said.

No truth to this @zerohedge story. The Dallas Fed does not issue such guidance to banks. https://t.co/rmE3Zul3PM
— Dallas Fed (@DallasFed) January 18, 2016

We thank the Dallas Fad for their prompt attention to this important matter. After all, as one of our sources commented, “If revolvers are not being marked anymore, then it’s basically early days of subprime when mbs payback schedules started to fall behind.” Surely there is nothing that can grab the public’s attention more than a rerun of the mortgage crisis, especially if confirmed by the highest institution.

As such we understand the Dallas Fed’s desire to avoid a public reaction and preserve semantic neutrality by refuting “such guidance.”

That said, we fully stand by our story, and now that we have engaged the Dallas Fed we would like to ask several very important follow up questions, to probe deeper into a matter that is of significant public interest as well as to clear up any potential confusion as to just what “guidance” the Fed is referring to.

To continue reading: The Fed Responds To Zero Hedge

Banksters Win Again – “Audit the Fed” Bill Fails in the Senate, by Michael Krieger

Unfortunately, “Audit the Fed” went down in flames. From Michael Krieger at libertyblitzkrieg.com:

When it comes to the Fed, Congress is mired in hypocrisy. The anti-regulation, de-regulation crowd on Capitol Hill shuts its mouth when it comes to the most powerful regulators of all – you and the Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, Congress goes along with the out-of-control, private government of the Fed—unaccountable to the national legislature. Moreover, your massive monetary injections scarcely led to any jobs on the ground, other than stock and bond processors.

– From the post: Ralph Nader Destroys the Federal Reserve in Open Letter – Calls it “Out of Control, Private Government”

Rand Paul’s signature “Audit the Fed” legislation failed to garner the 60 votes needed in the Senate to move the measure forward. Of course, this is merely the latest in a never-ending series of banker victories, and a truly devastating blow against liberty, free markets, transparency and any hope for government by the people and for the people. Ensuring that light is never shined on the Fed’s shady, corrupt and unaccountable bailout activities has always been a key goal of the American oligarchy, and they succeeded once again.

Kudos to Rand Paul for trying, and respect to Democrat Bernie Sanders for voting in favor. Elizabeth Warren voting against is inexplicable and indefensible.

More from MarketWatch:

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — A bill that would have allowed Congress to order reviews of Federal Reserve interest-rate policy decisions failed a procedural test in the Senate on Tuesday as supporters failed to come up with the 60 votes needed to cut off debate on the measures.

The measure to curb the powers of the Fed has been a central theme of the presidential campaign of Sen. Rand Paul, a Republican from Kentucky. The legislation would end a ban on the Government Accountability Office’s authority to audit the U.S. central bank’s monetary policy moves that has been in place since 1978. The Republican House has already approved the measure.

The bill was designed to “pull back the curtain and uncover the cloak of secrecy” at the Fed, Paul said on the Senate floor. He said there had not been a full accounting for the swelling of the Fed’s balance sheet — to $4.5 trillion from roughly $800 billion before the financial crisis.

Just 53 senators voted to halt debate on the bill Tuesday. Sixty or more votes for “cloture” would have paved the way for possible final passage of the bill.

The bulk of the opposition to the measure came from Democrats.

Because supporting an unelected, unaccountable bank cartel is so liberal.

To continue reading: Banksters Win Again