Tag Archives: Russian strategy

Operation Z – Don’t Interrupt, by Larry Johnson

Vladimir Putin is the most ardent and accomplished follower today of a famous Napoleonic maxim. From Larry Johnson at thegatewaypundit.com:

The following comes from my friend, Helmholtz Smith. He’s a decorated military analyst and Russian expert.

One of Napoleon’s observations is that you should never interrupt your enemies when they are making a mistake. Russians know this, not least because they were careful not to interrupt Napoleon himself in 1812. Putin and his team have had plenty of opportunities to meet NATO’s leaders, observe them, negotiate with them and assess them. It’s unlikely they’re very impressed. But when they started their “special military operation” in Ukraine they could never have dreamed how self-destructive NATO would be.

What mistakes? First, the West has not shot itself in the foot with its economic sanctions – Hungary’s Viktor Orban is right when he observes that it has put a slug into its lungs. One can still limp along with a broken foot, but a shot to the lungs is pretty serious. Second, who in Moscow could have imagined that NATO would shovel its ammunition and weapons stockpiles into the Ukrainian black hole in the expectation that if they can get the latest wonderwaffe to General Steiner they’ll be in Moscow by Christmas.

A good reason for Moscow to take it slowly – let the mistakes develop, compound and metastasize. It’s happening by itself. Naturally, inevitably, logically. No outside effort required. An unexpected bonus.

Don’t interrupt.

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Escobar: Death By A Thousand Cuts – Where Is The West’s Ukraine Strategy?

The West is so befuddled in Ukraine that it doesn’t even know how badly its losing. From Pepe Escobar at zerohedge.com:

The pounding, daily western narratives on ‘Ukrainian wins’ and ‘Russian losses’ underpins the lack of an actual, cohesive Grand Strategy against Moscow…

While we are all familiar with Sun Tzu, the Chinese general, military strategist and philosopher who penned the incomparable Art of War, less known is the Strategikon, the Byzantium equivalent on warfare.

Sixth century Byzantium really needed a manual, threatened as it was from the east, successively by Sassanid Persia, Arabs and Turks, and from the north, by waves of steppe invaders, Huns, Avars, Bulgars, semi-nomadic Turkic Pechenegs and Magyars.

Byzantium could not prevail just by following the classic pattern of Roman Empire raw power – they simply didn’t have the means for it.

So military force needed to be subordinate to diplomacy, a less costly means of avoiding or resolving conflict. And here we can make a fascinating connection with today’s Russia, led by President Vladimir Putin and his diplomacy chief Sergei Lavrov.

But when military means became necessary for Byzantium – as in Russia’s Operation Z – it was preferable to use weaponry to contain or punish adversaries, instead of attacking with full force.

Strategic primacy, for Byzantium, more than diplomatic or military, was a psychological affair. The word Strategia itself is derived from the Greek strategos – which does not mean “General” in military terms, as the west believes, but historically corresponds to a managerial politico-military function.

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Does Paul Craig Roberts like Genocide? by Dmitry Orlov

Dmitry Orlov ruthlessly dissects a Paul Craig Roberts recommendation that Russia engage in total warfare in Ukraine. From Orlov at thesaker.is:

Or maybe he, like Bundeskanzler Olaf Scholz, grandson of Fritz von Scholz, SS lieutenant-general who supervised the slaughter of Jews in Poland and the Ukraine, thinks that genocide is a joke? Let’s explore…

A reader has asked me to comment on a recent post by Roberts titled “The Kremlin Has Missed the Opportunity to End the Provocations of Russia that Are Bringing the World to Nuclear War.” And so I took a look at it. At first, it made me angry, but only for a moment, because there is no possibility of actual harm from his scribbling: his unsolicited advice to “the Kremlin” will pass unnoticed and therefore unheeded. Rather, it made me sad. I used to think highly of Roberts, but now he is just another confused old man who, like our friend Brendan, has missed a perfectly good opportunity to hang it up and fade away. Mind you, I am trying to be kind and polite here.

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“Battle Of Donbas” In Full Swing As Russia Launches ‘Hellish’ All-Out Assault, by Tyler Durden

Apparently Russia is conducting Phase Two of its Ukraine operation, which involves driving the Ukrainian government forces out of the Donbass in the eastern part of the country. From Tyler Durden at zerohedge.com:

In the overnight hours the “Battle of the Donbass” – as Ukraine’s Zelensky is calling it – was launched with a full renewed Russian onslaught, marking the beginning of a second phase of the war which kicked off with the Feb.24 invasion. The opening hours of Tuesday were marked by constant shelling and missile strikes in the region.

Another stage of this operation (in eastern Ukraine) is beginning and I am sure this will be a very important moment of this entire special operation,” Lavrov announced during a live interview with India Today on Tuesday.

Importantly, when asked about whether the ‘special operation’ launch by Vladimir Putin would eventually extend to the capital of Kiev, Lavrov responded: “We are not up for regime change in Ukraine.” This coming weeks after Russia’s military commanders announced a new focus on liberating the east.

Ukrainian multiple rocket launcher BM-21 “Grad” shells Russian troops’ position, near Luhansk, via AFP

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