The bond market is oversold and due a pretty substantial rally. Nevertheless, most of us have seen the lowest interest rates were ever going to see in our lifetimes. From Wolf Richter at wolfstreet.com:
Something has to give. And it’s going to be price.
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate today spiked to 6.18%, from 5.85% on Friday, according to the daily index by Mortgage News Daily. Aside from the sheer magnitude of the spike, this was also the highest mortgage rate since collection of the daily data began in April 2009. This was lightning fast, with mortgage rates nearly doubling since the beginning of the year (chart via Mortgage News Daily):
Mortgage rates follow the 10-year Treasury yield, but there is a spread between them, and the spread varies. The 10-year Treasury yield spiked by 28 basis points today, to 3.43% at the close, a huge move, and the highest since April 2011:
STRAIGHT LINE LOGIC 