Tag Archives: Finance

U.S. Financial Markets Have Become A Giant Mirage Built On A Foundation Of Fraud, by Michael Snyder

They’re throwing billions at companies that will never generate a dime of profits. From Michael Snyder at theeconomiccollapseblog.com:

Would you pay more than 100 million dollars for a single deli in rural New Jersey that had less than $36,000 in sales during the last two years combined?  I know that sounds like a completely ridiculous question, but the stock market apparently thinks that deli is worth that much.  On Thursday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 34,000 for the first time in history, and investors all over the country cheered.  But this financial bubble is not real.  It is a giant mirage that is built on a foundation of fraud.  Investors have lost all touch with reality, and in this sort of euphoric environment a small deli in rural New Jersey can literally be valued at more than 100 million dollars

The Paulsboro, New Jersey-based Your Hometown Deli is the sole location for Hometown International, which has an eye-popping market value despite totaling $35,748 in sales in the last two years combined, according to securities filings.

“Someone pointed us to Hometown International (HWIN), which owns a single deli in rural New Jersey … HWIN reached a market cap of $113 million on February 8. The largest shareholder is also the CEO/CFO/Treasurer and a Director, who also happens to be the wrestling coach of the high school next door to the deli. The pastrami must be amazing,” Einhorn said in a letter to clients published Thursday.

For young people getting ready to graduate from high school and go to college, don’t waste your time.

Just open up a small deli and go public.

Soon you will be a multi-millionaire.

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Capital Flight Is Killing The US Shale Boom, by Nick Cunningham

Just like Silicon Valley investors are backing away from unprofitable unicorns, shale patch investors are backing away from unprofitable shale drillers. From Nick Cunningham at oilprice.com:

The growth in U.S. shale production is grinding to a halt as low prices put drillers in a financial vice.

The slowdown has been unfolding for much of 2019, but the latest slide in oil prices is another blow to cash-strapped companies. Share prices for many E&Ps are down sharply. For instance, Devon Energy’s stock is down 20 percent since mid-September; EOG Resources is off by 17 percent and Pioneer Natural Resources is down by more than 13 percent. Many other companies have seen similar declines.

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Why Manufacturing Matters, by Erico Matias Tavares

From Erico Matias Tavares of Sinclair & Co. at linkedin.com:

A few weeks ago we penned an article on Open Source Ecology, an exciting new manufacturing concept developed by Dr. Marcin Jakubowski and his colleagues. Given its potential to create a multitude of self-reliant jobs and bring about a true manufacturing renaissance in much of the developed world, we thought that it would generate a lot of interest.

But boy were we wrong. Out of all the 77 articles that we have published since 2014 it got the lowest readings… EVER!

Now, we don’t consider ourselves to be any literary geniuses (nor we publish for “hits”), but we could never imagine that a title containing the word “manufacturing” could be so off-putting. We assume that for many of our dear readers, who for the most part live in Western countries, manufacturing is just an afterthought. The future and all the cool stuff is in services right?

Well, if this is the reason, we really need to think about how we approach manufacturing.

This is a personal topic for us. We started our career at General Electric (GE), at the time under the leadership of the legendary Jack Welch. As part of his broader risk management strategy, he bestowed an important oversight role on the finance function. Accordingly even us glorified “bean counters” were required to develop a deep understanding of our business, and particularly so in the manufacturing divisions. We even had to become conversant in Six Sigma, the art of business process improvement.

While we were busy trying to figure out the nuts and bolts of our job (literally), something else was happening at GE: Welch was transforming the company from a manufacturing giant into a services oriented powerhouse.

The core manufacturing divisions began moving into higher-margin aftersales (like maintenance contracts). More significantly, the financial services subsidiary leveraged the group’s top notch credit rating to fund an aggressive growth strategy, quickly becoming the primary source of earnings growth for the consolidated company. Consumer finance, lease providers and a plethora of other financial services companies were being acquired all over the world at breakneck speed.

Meanwhile, entire manufacturing facilities were being shut down in the US, earning the dynamic CEO the nickname “Neutron Jack” (everybody was gone when he came around, only the buildings remained).

GE turned out to be a leading indicator for the entire US economy. The same forces of globalization that were propelling Welch’s financial results were exposing other American manufacturers to cutthroat competition from emerging markets. As a consequence, they had to move upscale or offshore, or go out of business altogether.

To continue reading: Why Manufacturing Matters

He Said That? 12/7/15

From Arthur Wing Pinero (1855-1934), English actor and dramatist:

A financier is a pawnbroker with imagination.

While We Sleep, Corporate Execs Strip-Mine America, by Fabius Maximus

From the editor of Fabius Maximus, a multi-author website with a focus on geopolitics:

Nothing shows how America’s reins are held by the 1% than our out-of-control corporations, enriching their executives at the cost of the future of their businesses — and ours. Here’s another status report on this sad but fixable story.

The Q2 Buybacks Report by FactSet is, as usual, sobering reading. During the 12 months ending in June, companies in the S&P 500 spent $555.5 billion repurchasing their shares. For the first time since October 2009, buybacks exceeded free cash flow (cash flow after capex); they’re borrowing to buy back shares.

For the past two years buybacks have run at the fantastic rate of about $120 billion per quarter — the same rate as in 2006-2007, with tech companies the leaders. In 2014 they spent 95% of their profits on buybacks and dividends (building the future is somebody else’s problem in corporate America).

Investors applaud this as a boost to share prices. Surprising to the naive, a decade of buybacks has reduced the S&P 500’s share count by only 2%. Share buybacks are one part of the triangle trade that transfers vast fortunes from shareholders to senior executives using stock options:

• executives exercise their options when shares rise (i.e., the company sells shares to executives at a discount to current prices),
• the executive sells those shares to the public,
• the company buys back those shares from the public.

Net result: the company has less money, their executives have more, the share count is unchanged.

To continue reading: While We Sleep, Corporate Execs Strip-Mine America