Tag Archives: labor force participation

The US Economy Is Failing, by Paul Craig Roberts

The “economy” that gets touted in the mainstream media has little resemblance to the real-life economy with which most Americans have to deal. From Paul Craig Roberts at paulcraigroberts.com:

Do the Wall Street Journal’s editorial page editors read their own newspaper?

The frontpage headline story for the Labor Day weekend was “Low Wage Growth Challenges Fed.” Despite an alleged 4.4% unemployment rate, which is full employment, there is no real growth in wages. The front page story pointed out correctly that an economy alleged to be expanding at full employment, but absent any wage growth or inflation, is “a puzzle that complicates Federal Reserve policy decisions.”

On the editorial page itself, under “letters to the editor,” Professor Tony Lima of California State University points out what I have stressed for years: “The labor-force participation rate remains at historic lows. Much of the decrease is in the 18-34 age group, while participation rates have increased for those 55 and older.” Professor Lima points out that more evidence that the American worker is not in good shape comes from the rising number of Americans who can only find part-time work, which leaves them with truncated incomes and no fringe benefits, such as health care.

Positioned right next to this factual letter is the lead editorial written by someone who read neither the front page story or the professor’s letter. The lead editorial declares: “The biggest labor story this Labor Day is the trouble that employers are having finding workers across the country.” The Journal’s editorial page editors believe the solution to the alleged labor shortage is Senator Ron Johnson’s (R.Wis.) bill to permit the states to give 500,000 work visas to foreigners.

In my day as a Wall Street Journal editor and columnist, questions would have been asked that would have nixed the editorial. For example, how is there a labor shortage when there is no upward pressure on wages? In tight labor markets wages are bid up as employers compete for workers. For example, how is the labor market tight when the labor force participation rate is at historical lows. When jobs are available, the participation rate rises as people enter the work force to take the jobs.

To continue reading: The US Economy Is Failing

Flyover America: Can You hear Us Now? by Dumpkaine

The American economy is being propped up by debt, like an addict is propped up with a fix. From Dumpkaine at dumpkaine.com:

 

(Nothing in this paper should be construed as to advocate violence).

Sadly, after just a few months, the president for whom residents of more than 90% of landmass America voted is no longer the president they elected.  But this election highlighted loud and clear the real division among Americans: urban progressives versus everyone else.  Look at the map above and see for yourselves.  You should be able to name those blue mostly urban areas (and their surrounding bedroom communities).  Practically no one is talking about it, preferring to cast it in terms of “coastal versus flyover country”.  I believe the problem is urban.  When once-productive rural America figures it out, there will be Hell to pay.  I think it’s time we examine that.

Americans’ perception of the state of the economy varies greatly.  The cities have been the beneficiaries of the new “financialized” economy (which doesn’t make anything), federal trade policies, and federal “recovery” efforts, while the rest of the nation has languished.  Why is that?

Some of the economics following might be “review” for some of you.  Indulge me.  It’ll make sense later.

Federal Debt

A bit more information about the economy is in order.  First, what’s going on at the federal level?  The following chart explains a very basic piece of information about the US economy: Total Public (federal) debt.  The grey vertical bands on the chart represent periods of recession, slowdowns in the economy.  It is easy to see that, in response to each recession, the federal government increased its rate of debt accumulation, and then maintained the faster debt rate permanently.  In other words, after each recession the blue line of federal debt growth gets steeper and steeper.  Can you see that?

To continue reading: Flyover America: Can You hear Us Now?

The End Of The American Dream (In 1 Uncomfortable Chart), from Zero Hedge

The dream of life in the vassal state formerly known as America is fading fast. As The Bureau of Labor & Statistics (BLS) reported yesterday, there has never been a lower percentage of American men in the workforce. What is even more stunning – given the daily avalanche of “buy-and-hold” for a “safe-retirement” holding hands with your loved on as you stroll the beach at sunset – the percent of Americans aged 65 years or older has lamost doubled in the last 30 years and is near its highest since the mid ’60s.

So much for that dream retirement…

But stocks are near record highs and the Dow is positive by 1 point for 2015… so suck it up America – “you have to believe to receive.”

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-02-07/death-american-dream-1-uncomfortable-chart