The level of the stock indexes may be far below where there are now for the Federal Reserve floods the system with liquidity, because past such infusions are already fueling raging price increases. From MN Gordon at economicprism.com:
The Federal Reserve, through a multi-decade series of shady practices, finds itself in a very disagreeable place. Policies of extreme market intervention have positioned the economy and financial markets for an epic bust.
Price inflation. Unemployment. Interest rates. Stock market valuations.
These metrics are presently situated in such a way that the “Powell put” will be impossible to successfully execute for the foreseeable future.
Price inflation is at a 40 year high. The unemployment rate is 3.8 percent, which is near its low. The 10-Year Treasury note is yielding 2.15 percent. While this key interest rate is certainly trending higher, it’s still near a historical low.
And for all the wild price swings and gnashing of teeth over the last two months, the S&P 500 has hardly slipped. In fact, as of market close on Thursday March 17 of 4,411, the S&P 500 is down only 7.83 percent from its all-time record close of 4,786 reached on January 3. It still has another 12.17 percent to fall before reaching official bear market territory.
STRAIGHT LINE LOGIC 