Tag Archives: municipal bankruptcy

Are Illinois & Puerto Rico Our Future? by Patrick J. Buchanan

The answer is yes (see “A Jubilee is Coming“). From Patrick J. Buchanan at buchanan.org:

If Gov. Bruce Rauner and his legislature in Springfield do not put a budget together by Friday, the Land of Lincoln will be the first state in the Union to see its debt plunge into junk-bond status.

Illinois has $14.5 billion in overdue bills, $130 billion in unfunded pension obligations, and no budget. “We can’t manage our money,” says Rauner. “We’re like a banana republic.”

Speaking of banana republics, Puerto Rico, which owes $74 billion to creditors who hold its tax-exempt bonds, and $40 billion in unfunded pension liabilities, has already entered bankruptcy proceedings.

The island’s imaginative 38-year-old governor, Ricardo Rossello, however, has a solution. Call Uncle Sam. On June 11, Rossello held a plebiscite, with a 23 percent turnout, that voted 97 percent to make Puerto Rico our 51st state.

“(T)he federal government will no longer be able to ignore the voice of the majority of the American citizens in Puerto Rico,” said Rossello. Washington cannot “demand democracy in other parts of the world, and not respond to the legitimate right to self-determination that was exercised today in the American territory of Puerto Rico.”

Had the governor been talking about the island’s right to become free and independent, he would have had a point. But statehood inside the USA is something Uncle Sam decides.

Rossello calls to mind Count Mountjoy of Grand Fenwick, who, in “The Mouse that Roared,” plotted to rescue his bankrupt duchy by declaring war on the U.S., sailing to America to surrender, and then demanding the foreign aid America bestows on defeated enemies.

Yet Puerto Rico’s defaults on its debts may soon be our problem. Many bond funds in which Americans have invested their savings and retirement money are full of Puerto Rican bonds.

According to The New York Times, the U.S. Virgin Islands, the Northern Marianas and Guam are in the same boat. With 100,000 people, the Virgin Islands owe $6.5 billion to pensioners and creditors.

Then there is Connecticut, a state that has long ranked in the top tier in per capita income and wealth.

Connecticut, too, appears wobbly. Rising pension benefits, the cost of servicing the state debt and falling tax revenue due to fleeing residents and companies like Aetna and General Electric, have dropped Connecticut to near the national bottom in growth prospects.

To continue reading: Are Illinois & Puerto Rico Our Future?

 

Welcome To The Third World, Part 23: Illinois Death Watch, by John Rubino

Illinois needs a fiscal hospice, i.e. bankruptcy. From John Rubino at dollar collapse.com:

It’s been a long time coming, but Illinois’ slow-mo financial disaster is now front page news. A few recent examples:

Roadwork Could Shut Down Across Illinois Due To Budget Impasse

(Chicagoist) – Roadwork across Illinois may grind to a halt at the end of June due to the continued state budget impasse, a representative for the Illinois Department of Transportation (IDOT) announced Wednesday. IDOT will be unable to pay contractors on July 1, unless the state passes a stopgap funding measure.IDOT has told contractors that “all construction work is to shut down on June 30,” according to a statement. “Contractors will be advised to secure work zones to ensure their safety during any potential shutdown.”

Illinois has gone almost two full years without a state budget, which has hit education funding throughout the state and generated more than $14 billion in unpaid bills.14

Summer is both a high-volume construction season and a vaguely ominous time to cease road repairs; just last week, IDOT released a statement warning that the heat could lead to pavement “buckling or blowing out.”

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Powerball, Mega Millions to Halt Illinois Lottery Due to State’s Inability to Pay Winners

(Mish) – Both Powerball and Mega Millions Lotteries Will Pull Out of Illinois on June 30 due to the budget impasse.Without a budget in place, the state is not authorized to make payments to the association or Mega Millions.

Lottery proceeds are about 2% of state revenue. Speaking of revenue corporate income tax collection is down 41.3%. Sales taxes are flat. How is this supposed to work?

To continue reading: Welcome To The Third World, Part 23: Illinois Death Watch

They Really, Really Want Your Money by Robert Gore

States have been called the laboratories of democracy. If so, then these laboratories are like Dr. Frankenstein’s, or one of those secret, sinister installations where mad scientists supervised by demented bureaucrats cook up chemical and biological agents that can wipe out humanity. State and local governments are burdened by promises made to their employees they cannot keep. Unlike the federal government, they have no recourse to a money-creating central bank, and cannot, except through accounting legerdemain, run deficits. The states have had a variety of creative, albeit perturbing, responses to fiscal stress. In the future expect them to get even more “imaginative.”

Last week Bloomberg.com hailed an increase in the average state pension funding ratio—the percentage that a pension is funded—from 68.7 to 69.3 percent. The article was more cause for concern than celebration. The increase was the first in six years, after five years of “recovery,” and was propelled by the stock market’s hefty ascent last year. The S&P index is not going to rise nearly thirty percent every year, and pension funds have been using unrealistic return assumptions to guide their contributions (many assume 7 to 8 percent, with high quality long-term bonds, which are a good portion of their investments, yielding less than 4 percent). Ominously, the pension funding ratio is much higher than that for promised medical care. The Pew Charitable Trusts, which have done several studies on states’ funding gaps, puts that ratio at under 5 percent in 2010, and it probably has not improved much since then. The total shortfall is at least $1.38 trillion. Continue reading