Tag Archives: Modern Monetary Theory

The Failure Of MMT Is Now Evident, by Lance Roberts

Fiat debt creation isn’t an economic panacea. Who knew? From Lance Roberts at the Epoch Times via zerohedge.com:

MMT Policy (Modern Monetary Theory), the grand experiment, was tried following the pandemic-driven shutdown of the economy. It failed miserably.

However, before we get to its failure, we need to review the policy to understand why it failed to work as anticipated. According to Investopedia: “The central idea of MMT is that governments with a fiat currency system under their control can and should print (or create with a few keystrokes in today’s digital age) as much money as they need to spend because they cannot go broke or be insolvent unless a political decision to do so is taken.”

Some say such spending would be fiscally irresponsible, as the debt would balloon and inflation would skyrocket. But according to MMT:

  1. Large government debt isn’t the precursor to collapse that we have been led to believe it is;
  2. Countries like the United States can sustain much greater deficits without cause for concern; and
  3. A small deficit or surplus can be extremely harmful and cause a recession since deficit spending is what builds people’s savings.

Here is the critical paragraph: “According to MMT, the only limit that the government has when it comes to spending is the availability of real resources, like workers, construction supplies, etc. When government spending is too great with respect to the resources available, inflation can surge if decision-makers are not careful.

“Taxes create an ongoing demand for currency and are a tool to take money out of an economy that is getting overheated, says MMT. This goes against the conventional idea that taxes are primarily meant to provide the government with money to spend to build infrastructure, fund social welfare programs, etc.”

With this base understanding, we can “review the tape” to judge whether MMT, as an economic policy tool, was successful in its implementation.

$5 Trillion Spent And All I Got Was Inflation

At the end of 2019, Federal Debt outstanding was $23.2 trillion. Of course, just three short months later, the government would decide to shut down the economy to battle the COVID-19 outbreak. That decision was the defining moment that implemented MMT with successive rounds of monetary stimulus from direct checks to households to expanded government subsidies. By the end of 2021, Federal Debt swelled to nearly $30 trillion. Such is the most significant increase in government spending in U.S. history.

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Why Modern Monetary Theory Will Destroy Money… by Doug Casey

Modern monetary theory is just another branch of something-for-nothing economics. As such, it won’t work, and the concept behind it is pure evil. From Doug Casey at internationalman.com:

Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) centers around the notion that the economy in general, and money in particular, should be the creatures of the State.

It’s not a new idea – the meme has been around in one form or another since at least the days of Marx.

MMT basically posits that the wise and incorruptible solons in government should create as much currency as they think is needed, spend it in areas they like, and solve any problems that occur with more laws and regulations.

It’s nothing new. Just a more radical version of the economic fascism that’s dominated the U.S. since at least the days of the New Deal. It’s just another name for an old, and very stupid, set of economic ideas. By stupid I mean, “showing an inability to predict the indirect and delayed consequences of actions.”

Won’t Work

Politicians are now talking about the supposed benefits of MMT. Pseudo-economists are doing their abstruse and incomprehensible mathematical computations about how it might affect the economy.

The public will easily be convinced they’ll get something for nothing.

But what we should be talking about here is moral principle. It’s not a question of whether MMT will work or not work. It won’t. It will work about as well as the economic policies of Venezuela and Zimbabwe, or Argentina.

These schemes have never worked in all of history. They result in a vastly lower standard of living, along with social strife. MMT is about radically increased government control. The argument shouldn’t be over whether MMT will “work” or not. The argument should be about whether it’s moral and proper for people in the government – whether elected or appointed – to print money to change the economy into something that suits them better.

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The Best Vaccination against the Pandemic of Deceit, by Vinay Kohlhatkar

If it’s coming from the government, academia, the mainstream media, Hollywood, the social media giants or other large corporations, assume it’s a lie until proven otherwise. From Vinay Kohlhatkar at thesavvystreet.com:

If parasitism, favoritism, corruption, and greed for the unearned did not exist, a mixed economy would bring them into existence.

Ayn Rand, “The Pull Peddlers,” Capitalism: The Unknown Ideal

In 2020, many opened up to the reality of the establishment playing us. Even for those who already knew, the breadth and scope of the cytokine storm of the attempt at “manufacturing consent” must have come as a revelation—it did to me. The establishment (which includes most politicians, the bureaucracy, academe, mass media, and their cronies) went into such overdrive to blank out any countering opinions that it became obvious that a “fabricated reality” was being presented to us.

In effect, because all mass media (with very few exceptions) and nation-states joined the global bandwagon of manufactured narratives, it was no longer a local epidemic. Deceit-2020 is now a full-fledged pandemic of lies. It is way bigger than COVID-19.

A Consensus of Lies

The fabricated realities are now everywhere: from virology to economics to agriculture. However, since the list is way too long, we will look only at three illustrations.

(1) The Virology Consensus—a dismissal of the efficacy of HCQ and ivermectin … because … everyone must be masked, socially distanced, and vaccinated … and afterward, still be susceptible to being masked and socially distanced at will.

In 2020, governments severed the physician-patient bond. Globally. Without precedent.

None of us is an expert at everything. But it’s we who select experts for ourselves. We can get it wrong—for ourselves and those for whom we are guardians. But are we clever enough, responsible enough, that we can be entrusted to choose whose counsel we seek? After all, we know ourselves far better than any government would. Clearly, we have our best interest at heart. Which money manager can we entrust our pension management to? Whose legal counsel shall we seek? Which electrician? Which plumber? Most critically, which physician?

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MMT Is a Disaster Waiting to Happen, by James Rickards

There is no economic theory so stupid that it won’t have its adherents in academia. From James Rickards at dailyreckoning.com:

MMT is the most potentially damaging economic doctrine I have ever encountered, with the exception of communism.

Let’s begin with the idea that the Fed and Treasury should be merged in practice so that the Fed will monetize any amount of spending or borrowing the Treasury wants.

The reason markets have any confidence at all in the Fed is precisely because they are perceived as independent of congressional spending plans. MMT takes this confidence for granted and assumes the Fed can just crank up the printing press whenever the Treasury likes.

But, as soon as this kind of coordinated effort appears, markets will lose confidence, inflation expectations will soar and interest rates will skyrocket. The plan would collapse before it really began. This is exactly the type of adaptive behavior by investors and markets that MMT academics do not understand.

MMT says that a currency issuer such as the U.S. can never go broke because it can simply print money to pay off the debt (provided the borrowings are in the same currency as the printed money). This may be true in some narrow, literal sense, but it does not mean investors have to wait around for the trainwreck.

IMG 1

The evidence is strong that debt-to-GDP ratios above 90% are a major headwind for growth. Today that ratio is 130% and heading higher. More borrowing does not produce growth; it simply makes the debt problem worse.

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Do You Believe in Magic? by James Howard Kunstler

Modern Monetary Theory is the ultimate in something-for-nothing economics, aka magic. From James Howard Kunstler at kunstler.com:

The people pretending to run the world’s financial affairs do. The more layers of abstract game-playing they add to the existing armatures of unreality they’ve already constructed, the more certain it becomes that they will blow up all the support systems of a sunsetting hyper-tech economy that now has no safe lane to continue running in.

Virtually all the big nations are doing this now in desperation because they don’t understand that the hyper-tech economy is hostage to the deteriorating economics of energy, basically fossil fuels, and oil especially. The macro mega-system can’t grow anymore. We’re now in the de-growth phase of a dynamic that pulsates through history, as everything in the universe pulsates. We attempted to compensate for de-growth with debt, borrowing from the future.

But debt only works in the youthful growth phases of economic pulsation, when the prospect of being paid back is statistically favorable. Now in the elder de-growth phase, the prospect of paying back debts, or even servicing the interest, is statistically dismal. The amount of racked-up debt worldwide has entered the realm of the laughable. So, the roughly twenty-year experiment in Central Bank credit magic, as a replacement for true capital formation, has come to its grievous end.

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MMT: Not Modern, Not Monetary, Not a Theory, by Jeff Deist

Jeff Deist spares SLL the trouble of debunking the Modern Monetary Theory fantasy. From Deist at mises.org:

Modern monetary theory (MMT) has a new champion, and a new bible. Stephanie Kelton, economics professor at SUNY Stony Brook, is the author of The Deficit Myth: Modern Monetary Theory and the Birth of the People’s Economy. Professor Kelton was an advisor to the Bernie Sanders presidential campaigns, and her ideas increasingly find purchase with left progressives. It is certainly possible that she has a future either in a Biden administration or even on the Federal Reserve Board, which is a testament to how quickly our political and cultural landscape has shifted toward left progressivism. And left progressivism requires a “New Economics” to provide intellectual cover for what is essentially a political argument for painless free stuff from government.

Kelton’s essential argument, first advanced by MMT guru Warren Mosler in the 1990s, is quite simple: federal spending is unconstrained by revenue. Taxes function only to regulate demand and hence inflation; federal borrowing functions only to regulate interest rates. Sovereign government treasuries can create and spend as much money as they like to stimulate growth, especially when the economy is underperforming. If inflation spikes, taxes can be imposed to take money out of the economy.

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Modern Monetary Theory is an old Marxist Idea, by Claudio Grass

Print your way to prosperity, what could be simpler? Only those who profoundly hate humanity could embrace the idea. From Claudio Grass at lewrockwell.com:

There is nothing new under the sun

Modern Monetary Theory, or “MMT”, has been getting a lot of attention lately, often celebrated as a revolutionary breakthrough. However, there is absolutely nothing new about it. The very basis of the theory, the idea that governments can finance their expenditures themselves and therefore deficits don’t matter, actually goes back to the Polish Marxist economist, Michael Kalecki (1899 – 1970).

MMT as a centralisation tool 

MMT says that the national debt means that we owe the money to ourselves, so the central bank in combination with the approval and blessings of the political branch can now together spend as much as they want without facing any consequences. In other words, we can print our way to prosperity. The only real problem according to the theory is that there is not enough money and not that resources are scarce and therefore limited. To understand the basic idea behind this, let’s use the game “Monopoly” as an example. If players decide to double the amount of monopoly-money to play with, the logical outcome will be that people start to pay much higher prices e.g. for the same amount of locations. Whenever more money is chasing the same amount of goods, prices will rise. Another lesson is that the bank will always win, especially when it has the power to change the rules at any time during the game.

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Capitalism Is The Worst, Except For All The Rest, by Lance Roberts

This is the third of a series on capitalism, the first two parts are linked below. From Lance Roberts at realinvestmentadvice.com:

n Part 1, we discussed how “Capitalism” was distorted by Wall Street. In Part 2, we reviewed some of the “myths” of capitalism, which are used to garner “votes” by politicians but are not really true. Most importantly, we discussed the fallacy that “more Government” is the answer in creating equality as it impairs economic opportunity.

I want to conclude this series with a discussion on the fallacy of socialism and equality, and provide a some thoughts on how you can capitalize on capitalism.

Socialism Requires Money

The “entire premise” of the socialist agendas assumes money is unlimited. Since there is only a finite amount of money created through taxation of citizens each year the remainder must come from the issuance of debt.

Therefore, to promote an agenda which requires unlimited capital commitments to fulfill, the basic premise has to be “debt doesn’t matter.” 

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